Doval Doctrine: RAW ka Hybrid Warfare Pakistan ke Khilaf Kese Kaam krta hai

Summary:

Is investigative article mein RAW ki covert operations, hybrid warfare, aur Doval Doctrine ka post-2014 safar detail ke saath explain kiya gaya hai. From Kulbhushan Jadhav’s arrest to suicide bombings on Chinese nationals, aur BLA-TTP nexus tak, yeh expose karta hai India ke destabilisation tactics ko against Pakistan and China. Yeh bhi bataya gaya hai ke kaise New Delhi disinformation se le kar militancy tak ka strategic use karta hai, aur Pakistan ka response, legal angles aur West ki khamoshi kya imply karti hai. Yeh waqt hai ke Pakistan apni diplomatic strategy reinforce kare, aur Balochistan mein real reform le kar aaye.

Doval Doctrine: RAW ki covert strategy aur Pakistan ke khilaf hybrid jang ka khulasa

India ki aj kal ki foreign policy ek nayi soch pe based hai — Ajit Doval ki soch, jise “Doval Doctrine” kehte hain. Yeh doctrine openly Pakistan ko destabilise karne ka road map ban chuki hai, especially after Modi ki 2014 victory aur Doval ki NSA appointment. Doval ne Sastra University mein openly kaha:
“You can do one Mumbai, you may lose Balochistan.”

Yani yeh sirf rhetoric nahi, balkay ek openly declared covert operation ka start tha — Balochistan ke andar destabilisation, China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) pe hamlay, aur terrorism ko ek strategic tool ke tor pe use karna.

Kulbhushan Jadhav: RAW ka confess karta hua agent

2016 mein Kulbhushan Jadhav — ek serving Indian naval officer — Balochistan se arrest hua. Usne confess kiya ke woh RAW ka agent tha aur Pakistan mein sabotage aur terrorism ke missions run karta tha. Uska fake naam tha Hussein Mubarak Patel, aur usne Mehran base attack, gas pipeline bombings aur SSP Aslam ki assassination jaise operations admit kiye.

Yeh confession RAW ki covert war ka proof tha — aur evidence tha ke India ki destabilisation policy sirf theory nahi, ground pe active hai.

CPEC aur China: India ka doosra target

CPEC, jo China ka Belt & Road Initiative ka flagship project hai, India ki aankh ka kanta ban gaya hai. RAW ne $500 million ka ek operations cell establish kiya jo specifically CPEC ko target karta hai — Gilgit-Baltistan, Azad Kashmir aur Balochistan mein.

Is cell ka objective hai political division create karna, infrastructure ko damage karna, aur digital sabotage perform karna — sab kuch plausible deniability ke umbrella mein.

BLA, BRA aur TTP: RAW ke sponsored terror outfits

India ne terrorist groups ko not only fund kiya balkay unko unify bhi kiya — jaise ke BLA aur BRA ka merger into BRAS in 2019. Aslam Achu, jo BLA ka Majeed Brigade leader tha, Chinese consulate attack (Karachi, 2018) aur Gwadar PC hotel bombing (2019) ka mastermind tha, aur RAW ke network ke through India mein treatment bhi le raha tha.

Shari Baloch ka suicide attack on Chinese nationals (2022) bhi RAW aur BLA ka coordinated mission tha. Iska maksad tha Pakistan-China dosti ko damage karna.

RAW-TTP-NDS Nexus: Afghanistan se operate hone wali hybrid war

Taliban takeover se pehle RAW aur Afghanistan ki NDS joint operations chalate thay, jisme TTP ko support milta tha. Post-2021 bhi, kuch NDS remnants abhi RAW ke sath secret coordination mein hain.
Spin Boldak aur Nimroz jaise Afghan areas training hubs bane huye hain. TTP ab sirf tribal nahi, balkay urban terrorism mein bhi involved hai — Karachi, Quetta, Peshawar tak footprint extend ho gaya hai.

Digital War: Disinformation, Cyber Attacks aur Lobbying

Hybrid warfare sirf bombs aur bullets tak limited nahi — EU DisinfoLab ne expose kiya tha ke India 15 saal se 750+ fake media outlets aur NGOs ke zariye Pakistan ke khilaf propaganda chala raha hai. Yeh fake media UN aur EU level pe bhi Pakistan ko discredit karne ke liye use hota tha.

Cyberattacks on Pakistan Foreign Office and lobbying firms like Cornerstone Government Affairs prove karte hain ke India ki strategy har level pe operating hai — military, political aur digital.

Pakistan ka jawab: Green Bolan, cyber surveillance, FATF outreach

Pakistan ne Operation Green Bolan launch kiya — jisme Panjgur mein terrorist bases destroy hue. Cryptocurrency tracing, oil smuggling crackdowns aur dossiers to UN & FATF bhi is broader strategy ka part hain.

Security tightened ki gayi hai across CPEC projects, aur non-violent Baloch leaders ke sath political engagement bhi start hui hai. FIRs, UN resolution references aur legal follow-up under Article 2(4) of UN Charter ab serious diplomatic steps ka hissa hain.

Western Silence aur Geopolitical Reality

Despite proof, West largely silent hai — because of India’s economic weight aur “China-counterweight” narrative. Ambassadors aur experts jese Moeed Yusuf aur Abdul Basit keh rahe hain ke Pakistan needs consistency and strategic outreach — because dossiers akelay enough nahi hote jab tak lobbying aur pressure sustained na ho.

Way Forward: Internal strength is deterrence

Final lesson clear hai:
Balochistan ke grievances solve karein, socio-economic development pe focus karein, aur terror outfits ke digital aur logistical networks ko break karein. Internal unity is the strongest shield against external hybrid war.

Aaj bhi BRAS ke leaders comfortably Europe mein asylum le kar baithe hain. Pakistan must build legal cases, public campaigns, and international pressure to bring them back.
As Ambassador Basit ne kaha:
“Deterrence is internal — we need to show the world we can protect our people, our projects, and our peace.”